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Qual 732026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red201
650285.2
874640.8
875729.2
Blue198
1117947.7
872776.0
264058.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128167050100150200250300201198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+9Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
23Fuel17
14Tower11
37Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +6
26Transition21
79Shifts 1–281
28Shifts 3–437
31Endgame fuel31
164Total teleop170
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
201Total score198
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#14
85.24.8
73.3→78.1
Auto15.9
Teleop68.3
End1.1
red by 9.2
8727
#20
76.02.7
57.3→60.0
Auto10.2
Teleop66.3
End-0.4
Second
8746
#32
40.84.8
31.4→36.2
Auto10.1
Teleop30.6
End0.2
blue by 17.7
2640
#23
58.52.7
50.4→53.2
Auto15.1
Teleop43.1
End0.3
Third
8757
#26
29.24.8
24.2→29.0
Auto8.1
Teleop21.2
End-0.1
blue by 18.5
11179
#17
47.72.7
49.2→51.9
Auto15.2
Teleop32.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
13%Energized oddsMissed20%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed