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Qual 822026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red278
8429106.6
872776.0
482957.3
Blue471
9496244.7
122559.3
1007728.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190356100300400500600278471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+158
Endgame+158
Fouls+193
AutonomousBlue +42
31Fuel66
24Tower31
55Total auto97
TeleoperatedBlue +116
27Transition45
81Shifts 1–2130
72Shifts 3–4109
38Endgame fuel50
218Total teleop334
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +193
5Foul points40
278Total score471
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#18
106.64.6
82.2→86.7
Auto22.5
Teleop84.3
End-0.2
blue by 138.1
9496
#1
244.77.2
239.2→246.4
Auto53.4
Teleop191.4
End-0.1
Second
8727
#20
76.04.6
60.0→64.6
Auto10.2
Teleop66.3
End-0.4
red by 16.7
1225
#30
59.37.2
54.7→61.9
Auto9.9
Teleop48.5
End0.9
Third
4829
#11
57.34.6
62.2→66.8
Auto9.9
Teleop47.4
End0.1
red by 28.4
10077
#40
28.97.2
29.3→36.5
Auto7.4
Teleop21.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
62%Energized oddsEarned83%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed8%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed