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Match 122026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red383
789098.7
872776.0
8429106.6
Blue438
9032180.6
600438.7
9496244.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242563100200300400500700800383438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +22
25Fuel50
28Tower25
53Total auto75
TeleoperatedBlue +33
35Transition79
123Shifts 1–2108
110Shifts 3–4129
62Endgame fuel47
330Total teleop363
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
383Total score438
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#18
106.62.4
104.2→106.6
Auto22.5
Teleop84.3
End-0.2
blue by 138.1
9496
#1
244.71.5
260.0→258.5
Auto53.4
Teleop191.4
End-0.1
Second
7890
#9
98.72.4
96.3→98.7
Auto15.8
Teleop82.9
End0.1
blue by 82.0
9032
#2
180.61.5
195.9→194.4
Auto29.3
Teleop151.4
End-0.1
Third
8727
#20
76.02.4
73.6→76.0
Auto10.2
Teleop66.3
End-0.4
red by 37.3
6004
#16
38.71.5
48.1→46.6
Auto7.1
Teleop31.9
End-0.3