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Qual 302026 Great Northern Regional
Red275
614667.8
825579.6
1128373.2
Blue102
662816.2
702885.5
87712.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151103050200250300275102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+21
+183Teleop
+173Endgame
+173Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
15Fuel22
17Tower31
32Total auto53
TeleoperatedRed +204
44Transition7
83Shifts 1–217
57Shifts 3–48
59Endgame fuel7
243Total teleop39
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +173
0Foul points0
275Total score102
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8255
#11
79.615.0
52.8→67.8
Auto16.7
Teleop63.1
End-0.1
blue by 5.8
7028
#19
85.50.4
77.2→76.8
Auto17.2
Teleop67.8
End0.5
Second
11283
#2
73.215.0
46.9→61.9
Auto6.2
Teleop67.8
End-0.7
red by 57.1
6628
#49
16.20.4
14.9→14.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.5
End0.1
Third
6146
#16
67.815.0
40.4→55.4
Auto15.8
Teleop52.6
End-0.6
red by 55.4
877
#40
12.40.4
13.5→13.1
Auto8.7
Teleop3.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
63%Energized oddsEarned34%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed