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Qual 582026 FMA District Montgomery Event
Red165
858812.1
7558.3
29366.9
Blue107
219139.4
127933.8
871416.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15391050200250300350400165107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+15Auto
+73Teleop
+63Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
20Fuel10
21Tower16
41Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +58
17Transition7
53Shifts 1–234
38Shifts 3–415
16Endgame fuel10
124Total teleop66
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points5
165Total score107
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#4
66.91.7
64.3→66.0
Auto15.0
Teleop52.0
End-0.1
red by 27.5
2191
#17
39.40.4
39.5→39.9
Auto9.2
Teleop29.8
End0.4
Second
75
#11
58.31.7
58.0→59.7
Auto9.1
Teleop50.0
End-0.8
red by 24.5
1279
#19
33.80.4
41.2→41.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End-0.1
Third
8588
#32
12.11.7
17.5→19.2
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End-0.1
blue by 3.8
8714
#33
16.00.4
15.3→15.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
65%Energized oddsEarned45%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed