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Qual 12026 Buckeye Regional
Red86
976731.6
871822.4
12037.9
Blue56
1020721.6
1001138.5
319316.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831070501502002503008656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+15Auto
+10Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
12Fuel9
23Tower11
35Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Transition7
13Shifts 1–214
9Shifts 3–49
5Endgame fuel6
31Total teleop36
EndgameRed +20
20Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
86Total score56
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#26
37.90.3
37.8→38.1
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End1.3
blue by 0.5
10011
#33
38.54.9
31.9→26.9
Auto12.8
Teleop25.6
End0.1
Second
9767
#15
31.60.2
27.5→27.7
Auto14.3
Teleop6.4
End11.0
red by 10.1
10207
#37
21.64.9
30.8→25.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.2
End-0.5
Third
8718
#19
22.40.3
18.1→18.4
Auto5.9
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 5.9
3193
#40
16.54.9
37.8→32.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
38%Energized oddsMissed41%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed