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Qual 352026 Buckeye Regional
Red147
696415.7
412160.6
217245.5
Blue117
581120.6
839368.4
871822.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16998050150200250300350400147117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+14
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
10Fuel13
7Tower18
17Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Transition17
37Shifts 1–237
46Shifts 3–417
14Endgame fuel15
115Total teleop86
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +30
15Foul points0
147Total score117
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4121
#10
60.62.5
70.7→68.2
Auto11.7
Teleop48.0
End0.9
blue by 7.8
8393
#32
68.41.4
52.6→54.0
Auto16.1
Teleop51.1
End1.1
Second
2172
#11
45.52.5
62.3→59.8
Auto11.9
Teleop33.3
End0.4
red by 23.1
8718
#19
22.41.4
3.3→4.7
Auto5.9
Teleop16.0
End0.5
Third
6964
#25
15.72.5
21.2→18.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End0.4
blue by 4.9
5811
#38
20.61.4
48.2→49.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
71%Energized oddsEarned28%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed