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Qual 12026 Ohio State Championship
Red239
822248.4
814520.9
37980.1
Blue133
319315.7
260371.6
426941.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541830100300400500239133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+16Auto
+96Teleop
+96Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
20Fuel9
16Tower11
36Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +80
37Transition11
74Shifts 1–242
44Shifts 3–444
38Endgame fuel16
193Total teleop113
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +106
10Foul points0
239Total score133
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#13
80.15.1
79.6→84.7
Auto6.8
Teleop72.2
End1.0
red by 8.5
2603
#9
71.62.7
80.9→78.2
Auto11.5
Teleop59.3
End0.8
Second
8222
#6
48.45.1
34.1→39.2
Auto6.5
Teleop41.9
End-0.1
red by 7.2
4269
#28
41.13.9
57.0→53.1
Auto9.2
Teleop31.4
End0.6
Third
8145
#29
20.95.1
38.4→43.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.9
End-1.3
red by 5.3
3193
#30
15.72.7
35.5→32.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
63%Energized oddsEarned77%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
4%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed