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Qual 242026 FMA District Philadelphia Event
Red188
201641.9
1218113.8
106009.4
Blue104
81615.7
578948.8
463842.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15275050100200250300188104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+16
+99Teleop
+89Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousBlue +16
11Fuel25
10Tower12
21Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +115
30Transition9
79Shifts 1–214
27Shifts 3–419
31Endgame fuel10
167Total teleop52
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points5
188Total score104
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#3
113.83.4
94.2→97.6
Auto21.6
Teleop92.9
End-0.6
red by 65.0
5789
#12
48.81.1
49.5→50.6
Auto14.9
Teleop31.3
End2.6
Second
2016
#7
41.93.4
27.9→31.3
Auto9.8
Teleop32.1
End-0.0
blue by 0.9
4638
#23
42.81.1
23.4→24.5
Auto16.5
Teleop23.7
End2.5
Third
10600
#25
9.43.4
15.1→18.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End-1.8
blue by 6.3
816
#27
15.71.1
9.7→10.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
75%Energized oddsEarned21%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed