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Qual 412026 FMA District Philadelphia Event
Red146
1014338.8
692156.8
71428.3
Blue104
42337.1
1097926.7
36544.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712050100150200250146104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+1
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
8Fuel11
10Tower8
18Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
22Transition20
27Shifts 1–233
23Shifts 3–418
26Endgame fuel14
98Total teleop85
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +42
30Foul points0
146Total score104
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#5
56.80.4
59.2→58.8
Auto8.1
Teleop49.1
End-0.4
red by 12.5
365
#6
44.30.9
46.8→45.9
Auto6.5
Teleop37.4
End0.4
Second
10143
#9
38.80.4
34.2→33.8
Auto7.3
Teleop30.7
End0.8
red by 1.7
423
#8
37.10.9
40.5→39.7
Auto6.1
Teleop31.0
End-0.0
Third
714
#15
28.30.4
28.6→28.2
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End-0.5
red by 1.6
10979
#20
26.70.9
29.8→28.9
Auto6.3
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
42%Energized oddsEarned45%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed