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Qual 512026 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red195
2783116.7
381429.1
396652.5
Blue144
966830.6
285620.4
239384.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206115050150250300350195144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+2
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
22Fuel20
22Tower26
44Total auto46
TeleoperatedRed +38
36Transition11
44Shifts 1–243
35Shifts 3–427
21Endgame fuel17
136Total teleop98
EndgameRed +10
10Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +51
5Foul points0
195Total score144
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#4
116.70.3
111.3→111.6
Auto23.6
Teleop91.4
End1.7
red by 32.0
2393
#7
84.72.3
78.8→81.1
Auto15.3
Teleop68.2
End1.2
Second
3966
#8
52.50.3
46.6→46.9
Auto6.9
Teleop42.6
End3.1
red by 21.9
9668
#33
30.62.3
27.3→29.6
Auto8.1
Teleop22.8
End-0.3
Third
3814
#23
29.10.3
29.2→29.6
Auto6.8
Teleop21.3
End1.0
red by 8.7
2856
#21
20.42.3
17.1→19.4
Auto4.4
Teleop16.7
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
71%Energized oddsEarned55%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed