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Match 102026 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red196
382429.4
239384.7
349260.9
Blue161
752553.9
396652.5
450437.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19014050100250300350196161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+26
+40Teleop
+30Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +26
12Fuel26
11Tower23
23Total auto49
TeleoperatedRed +66
27Transition18
47Shifts 1–236
57Shifts 3–433
37Endgame fuel15
168Total teleop102
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Penalties & totalRed +35
5Foul points0
196Total score161
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#7
84.70.4
85.3→85.6
Auto15.3
Teleop68.2
End1.2
red by 30.8
7525
#16
53.90.5
53.4→53.9
Auto15.5
Teleop36.6
End1.8
Second
3492
#5
60.90.4
61.4→61.8
Auto11.2
Teleop50.1
End-0.4
red by 8.4
3966
#8
52.50.5
52.0→52.5
Auto6.9
Teleop42.6
End3.1
Third
3824
#15
29.40.4
29.9→30.3
Auto5.8
Teleop23.8
End-0.2
blue by 8.1
4504
#20
37.50.5
37.0→37.5
Auto7.9
Teleop28.5
End1.1