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Match 42026 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red203
382429.4
239384.7
349260.9
Blue165
401353.3
457641.8
103858.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19515650100250300350203165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+8Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
23Fuel17
14Tower12
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +25
25Transition20
64Shifts 1–245
39Shifts 3–441
33Endgame fuel30
161Total teleop136
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalRed +38
5Foul points0
203Total score165
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#7
84.70.4
87.5→87.9
Auto15.3
Teleop68.2
End1.2
red by 26.1
1038
#28
58.60.2
59.5→59.7
Auto12.2
Teleop46.1
End0.2
Second
3492
#5
60.90.4
63.6→64.0
Auto11.2
Teleop50.1
End-0.4
red by 7.6
4013
#10
53.30.2
54.2→54.4
Auto10.5
Teleop42.2
End0.7
Third
3824
#15
29.40.4
32.1→32.5
Auto5.8
Teleop23.8
End-0.2
blue by 12.4
4576
#14
41.80.2
42.6→42.9
Auto7.6
Teleop33.8
End0.4