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Qual 22026 WIN District Appleton Event
Red152
582668.6
874448.8
1026456.2
Blue60
338124.8
179281.8
870010.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169805015020025030035040015260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+6
+77Teleop
+67Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
16Fuel27
15Tower10
31Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +83
15Transition2
37Shifts 1–23
31Shifts 3–42
8Endgame fuel1
91Total teleop8
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +92
30Foul points5
152Total score60
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5826
#5
68.61.4
39.3→40.7
Auto18.5
Teleop50.0
End0.1
blue by 13.3
1792
#8
81.84.7
47.3→42.7
Auto16.3
Teleop64.6
End1.0
Second
10264
#3
56.21.4
22.1→23.5
Auto7.3
Teleop47.8
End1.1
red by 31.4
3381
#38
24.84.7
26.5→21.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Third
8744
#11
48.81.4
47.9→49.4
Auto9.2
Teleop39.8
End-0.3
red by 37.9
8700
#37
10.94.7
23.2→18.5
Auto6.3
Teleop4.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
44%Energized oddsEarned39%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed