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Red32
98716.4
4989.1
Blue10
63412.8
99510.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
16.42.9
16.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
634
Unranked
12.82.1
12.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
498
Unranked
9.14.4
9.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
995
Unranked
10.30.4
10.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End