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Red34
69611.1
86711.2
Blue40
59710.8
58514.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
867
Unranked
11.20.6
11.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
585
Unranked
14.01.5
14.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
696
Unranked
11.10.7
11.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
597
Unranked
10.81.6
10.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End