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Red31
63412.8
25611.4
Blue33
20711.9
52414.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25255101520303540453133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
634
Unranked
12.80.0
13.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
524
Unranked
14.30.0
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
256
Unranked
11.40.0
11.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
207
Unranked
11.90.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End