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Red20
8508.7
69112.6
Blue32
11411.1
86711.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242304060801002032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
Unranked
12.60.5
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
867
Unranked
11.20.8
14.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
850
Unranked
8.70.8
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
114
Unranked
11.10.5
8.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End