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Red45
58911.2
8015.1
Blue22
36210.0
9968.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2222010304050604522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80
Unranked
15.11.4
12.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
362
Unranked
10.00.8
10.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
589
Unranked
11.21.4
10.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
996
Unranked
8.71.4
11.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End