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Red34
25611.4
86112.7
Blue26
25910.7
59710.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625010203040503426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
861
Unranked
12.70.5
14.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
597
Unranked
10.80.5
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
256
Unranked
11.40.3
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
259
Unranked
10.70.5
12.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End