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Red30
52414.3
59110.3
Blue20
8128.0
86112.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24241015203035403020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
524
Unranked
14.30.4
13.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
861
Unranked
12.70.6
15.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
591
Unranked
10.30.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
812
Unranked
8.00.6
8.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End