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Red10
86711.2
6019.4
Blue38
58014.1
39915.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3722060801001038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
Unranked
19.41.4
19.217.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
399
Unranked
15.32.3
11.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
867
Unranked
11.22.3
14.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
580
Unranked
14.12.3
12.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End