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Red21
4989.1
85112.9
Blue41
89811.4
29510.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2421010304050602141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
851
Unranked
12.91.4
13.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
898
Unranked
11.41.4
11.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
498
Unranked
9.11.4
10.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
295
Unranked
10.00.8
9.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End