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Red30
81111.3
1785.9
Blue41
9512.9
5817.1
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524102030403041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
Unranked
11.30.1
11.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
58
Unranked
17.14.3
17.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
178
Unranked
5.93.1
8.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
95
Unranked
12.90.4
12.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End