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Red40
21315.2
23014.9
Blue10
5018.4
1556.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282304060801001204010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
Unranked
15.21.4
15.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
501
Unranked
8.42.0
8.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
Unranked
14.91.3
14.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
155
Unranked
6.93.5
6.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End