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Red25
1779.5
17615.9
Blue21
83916.8
3948.9
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2626101520303540452521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
15.90.2
14.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
839
Unranked
16.80.3
16.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
Unranked
9.50.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
394
Unranked
8.90.3
10.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End