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Red40
18111.1
12117.3
Blue42
71612.7
4216.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21270501001502002503004042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
17.30.0
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
42
Unranked
16.00.1
13.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
Unranked
11.10.0
9.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
716
Unranked
12.70.1
11.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End