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Red41
9997.6
10315.2
Blue46
17511.7
5003.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21240501001502002504146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
15.20.1
12.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
175
Unranked
11.70.1
14.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
7.60.2
8.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
500
Unranked
3.50.2
8.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End