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Red45
3814.5
19516.6
Blue42
56215.4
9512.9
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31260204060804542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
16.60.0
15.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
562
Unranked
15.40.0
14.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
95
Unranked
12.90.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End