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Red22
5968.0
13311.9
Blue12
54614.0
9997.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242451015203035402212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
Unranked
11.90.7
11.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
546
Unranked
14.00.7
16.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
596
Unranked
8.00.4
11.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
999
Unranked
7.60.7
8.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End