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Red38
12513.4
78213.5
Blue21
5003.5
3814.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242351015203035403821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
782
Unranked
13.51.1
12.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
38
Unranked
14.51.1
14.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
Unranked
13.40.7
11.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
500
Unranked
3.51.1
9.18.0
Auto
Teleop
End