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Red42
12611.0
17511.7
Blue55
9512.9
23714.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272710203040504255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
11.70.4
14.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
237
Unranked
14.60.4
15.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
126
Unranked
11.00.7
11.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
95
Unranked
12.90.4
13.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End