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Red40
6114.5
21212.1
Blue19
7911.6
5889.9
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
14.51.1
14.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
79
Unranked
11.65.4
16.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
212
Unranked
12.11.3
12.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
588
Unranked
9.90.9
9.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End