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Red10
27812.9
41511.3
Blue31
31111.1
83211.9
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030401031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
278
Unranked
12.92.2
13.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
832
Unranked
11.91.5
11.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
415
Unranked
11.30.5
11.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
311
Unranked
11.14.0
17.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End