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Red10
23310.0
54711.8
Blue45
7911.6
8018.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3310020405060701045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
Unranked
11.82.5
14.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
79
Unranked
11.62.7
10.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
233
Unranked
10.02.5
12.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
801
Unranked
8.32.5
5.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End