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Red21
18615.3
71015.7
Blue0
31111.1
68512.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292301020405060210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
15.71.0
14.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
685
Unranked
12.61.0
13.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
186
Unranked
15.31.0
12.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
311
Unranked
11.11.0
11.110.1
Auto
Teleop
End