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Red10
21212.1
5079.8
Blue30
5712.9
16813.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624010203040501030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
212
Unranked
12.11.3
13.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
168
Unranked
13.90.7
14.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
507
Unranked
9.80.1
10.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
57
Unranked
12.93.4
16.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End