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Red23
41511.3
78017.0
Blue38
41113.7
6114.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2325010203040502338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
780
Unranked
17.00.9
12.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
61
Unranked
14.50.9
13.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
415
Unranked
11.30.9
10.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
411
Unranked
13.70.9
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End