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Red40
80415.4
53812.2
Blue13
8665.2
94610.1
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24220103040504013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
804
Unranked
15.41.6
12.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
946
Unranked
10.11.6
11.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
538
Unranked
12.21.6
11.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
866
Unranked
5.21.6
10.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End