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Red20
54711.8
94711.1
Blue47
18019.8
38611.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2426010203040502047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
Unranked
11.81.6
13.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
180
Unranked
19.81.6
12.714.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
947
Unranked
11.11.6
10.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
386
Unranked
11.71.6
12.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End