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Red39
71015.7
599.8
Blue20
5828.8
65412.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723010203040503920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
15.71.0
13.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
654
Unranked
12.61.0
13.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
59
Unranked
9.81.0
12.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
582
Unranked
8.81.0
10.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End