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Red22
16813.9
94610.1
Blue40
71015.7
31215.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523010203040502240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168
Unranked
13.91.2
13.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
710
Unranked
15.71.2
11.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
946
Unranked
10.11.2
11.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
312
Unranked
15.01.2
11.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End