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Red39
5889.9
38611.7
Blue20
45910.0
4085.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2325010203040503920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
Unranked
11.71.3
11.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
459
Unranked
10.01.3
13.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
588
Unranked
9.91.3
11.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
408
Unranked
5.51.3
11.09.8
Auto
Teleop
End