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Red22
83211.9
65412.6
Blue31
10511.8
34311.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625010203040502231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
654
Unranked
12.60.6
11.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
343
Unranked
11.90.6
11.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
832
Unranked
11.90.6
14.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
105
Unranked
11.80.6
14.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End