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Red42
38611.7
80415.4
Blue30
3936.0
41113.7
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
804
Unranked
15.42.6
15.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
411
Unranked
13.72.4
13.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
386
Unranked
11.70.5
12.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
393
Unranked
6.05.7
5.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End