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Red24
65412.6
54711.8
Blue10
53812.2
39515.0
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
654
Unranked
12.60.3
12.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
395
Unranked
15.05.5
16.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
547
Unranked
11.80.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
538
Unranked
12.20.1
11.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End