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Red49
1799.3
71015.7
Blue30
94711.1
8665.2
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
15.70.9
12.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
947
Unranked
11.11.0
11.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
Unranked
9.34.0
9.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
866
Unranked
5.25.7
5.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End