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Red40
31111.1
5828.8
Blue42
27812.9
10511.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1730010204050604042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
311
Unranked
11.10.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
278
Unranked
12.90.3
14.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
582
Unranked
8.80.3
9.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
105
Unranked
11.80.3
12.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End