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Red34
78017.0
8018.3
Blue29
94610.1
2114.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222601030405060703429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
780
Unranked
17.00.4
17.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
21
Unranked
14.90.4
14.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
801
Unranked
8.30.4
5.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
946
Unranked
10.10.4
10.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End