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Red38
3936.0
68512.6
Blue49
38611.7
10810.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242404060801001201401603849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
685
Unranked
12.60.7
14.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
386
Unranked
11.70.7
11.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
393
Unranked
6.00.7
9.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
108
Unranked
10.80.7
12.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End